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AC资本市场:市场提前计价日本央行加息带动日元大涨,黄金反弹

2023-12-08 08:12:33

周五凌晨,美国三大股指出现了一轮可观的反弹,其中道琼斯平均工业指数小幅收涨0.17%(62.95点)、标普500指数收涨0.80%(36.25点),而侧重科技股的纳斯达克100指数则领涨,上涨193.28点(+1.37%)。与此同时,美国10年期国债收益率从4.121%小幅上升至4.129%,是国际金融市场对本交易日夜间即将公布的最后一次非农数据的谨慎计价结果。


除了本年度最后一次非农数据以外,近日市场的重心显然是在日元——在过去几个交易日内,日本央行行长和副行长分别暗示该行业将在2024年进行大动作,其中行长植田和男表示明年的工作将变得非常艰巨。

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USDJPY 4h


受此影响,汇市交易者掀起了一轮无比凶猛的提前计价,导致日元兑美元迅速升值(美元兑日元大跌),美元兑日元(USDJPY)从147关口附近开始大幅下跌,盘间最低达到141.618,录得今年以来最大单日跌幅之一。目前美元稍有反弹,但交易者应该注意,非农数据或将成为这一趋势的催化剂。


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XAUUSD 1h


大宗商品方面,黄金(XAUUSD)在周四同样再次反弹,从每盎司2020美元支撑位反弹并突破2032美元阻力位,并在盘间冲高至2040美元关口下方后回落。从价格行为上判断,黄金多头交易者仍然信心满满,充满上行动能。但是,黄金交易者同样应该注意即将出炉的11月非农数据,以及随之而来的更多波动性。




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